TL;DR — ScoreGPT's consensus of 6 AI models predicts Augsburg 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt in this Bundesliga matchday 31 clash at WWK Arena. Three models back a home win (ScoreGPT, GPT-5.4, Claude Opus 4.6), two predict a draw, and one tips an away win. Consensus confidence sits at 55% on the home win outcome, with the market potentially undervaluing Augsburg's home fortress against Frankfurt's catastrophic road form (1 win in 11 away matches).
Match Overview
- Competition: Bundesliga — Matchday 31
- Date: Saturday, April 25, 2026
- Kickoff: 13:30 UTC
- Venue: WWK Arena, Augsburg
- League positions: Augsburg sit 9th (36 points, 10W-6D-14L) while Eintracht Frankfurt are 8th (42 points, 11W-9D-10L)
Augsburg arrive on the back of a stunning 2-1 away win at Bayer Leverkusen (scoring the winner in the 97th minute), extending their unbeaten run to three matches. Frankfurt, meanwhile, lost 3-1 at home to RB Leipzig last time out and have struggled to build any real momentum under manager Albert Riera since his February appointment.
What 6 AI Models Predict
| Model | Prediction | Score | Confidence | |-------|-----------|-------|-----------| | ScoreGPT (Consensus) | Home Win | 2-1 | 55% | | GPT-5.4 | Home Win | 2-1 | 46% | | Claude Opus 4.6 | Home Win | 2-1 | 48% | | Grok 4.20 | Draw | 2-2 | 55% | | Kimi K2.5 | Draw | 1-1 | 52% | | Gemini 3.1 Pro | Away Win | 1-2 | 48% |
Three models (ScoreGPT, GPT-5.4, and Claude Opus 4.6) converge on a 2-1 home win for Augsburg. Two models — Grok 4.20 and Kimi K2.5 — see a draw, while Gemini 3.1 Pro is the sole outlier backing an away win.
Consensus Analysis
Where the models agree
There's strong agreement on several structural factors favoring Augsburg:
Home vs away dominance. Augsburg have lost just 1 of their last 10 home matches at WWK Arena and have scored 2+ goals in 5 of their last 6 home games. Conversely, Frankfurt have won only 1 of their last 11 Bundesliga away fixtures — a catastrophic record that spans back to November 2025.
Defensive vulnerability on both sides. Both teams have conceded over 50 goals this season (Augsburg 54, Frankfurt 57). Claude Opus 4.6 highlights Frankfurt's extraordinary 87% BTTS rate in away matches (13 of 15 games), making goals highly probable.
Injury crisis vs full squad. Frankfurt are severely depleted with 7 players unavailable, including key defenders Kristensen (season-ending), Theate, and Collins, plus attacking options Uzun and Knauff. Augsburg manager Manuel Baum confirmed a fully fit squad, with Chrislain Matsima back as an option.
Where they diverge
- Gemini 3.1 Pro's away win thesis rests on Frankfurt's superior underlying metrics (1.84 points per game under Riera) and their motivation for European qualification. But the model's 30-day result accuracy sits at 41.9% with a -1.15% ROI — the weakest recent track record of any model in this comparison.
- Grok 4.20 and Kimi K2.5's draw case points to the balanced head-to-head history (3 Augsburg wins, 3 Frankfurt wins, 4 draws in the last 10 at WWK Arena) and both teams' identical 3-4-2-1 formations potentially cancelling each other out.
- The home win camp (ScoreGPT, GPT-5.4, Claude Opus 4.6) carries the most weight when considering recent form. GPT-5.4 notes Augsburg have taken 21 points from 13 matches in the second half of the season, compared to Frankfurt's 16 — a five-point swing that the market appears to be ignoring.
ScoreGPT's bottom line
"The market is overvaluing Frankfurt's squad name and motivation while underpricing Augsburg's home fortress, full availability, and better recent form. The home win is the most logical outcome given the evidence."
Value Detection
Significant value detected: Home win at 3.0 (bet365).
Here's the breakdown:
- Market implied probability for Augsburg to win: 33.3% (odds of 3.0)
- ScoreGPT consensus estimated probability: 44-48%
- Edge: +10.7 to 14.7 percentage points
The market appears to be pricing Frankfurt based on their season-long reputation and name value rather than their actual form under Riera. Frankfurt's 1.84 points per game under the new manager is being overweighted, while their 1 win in 11 away matches and defensive injury crisis are underweighted.
Grok 4.20 — the model with the highest 30-day betting ROI at 15.14% — flags a different value angle: Over 2.5 goals at 1.85. Grok notes both teams have conceded 50+ goals and Frankfurt's away games average 4.2 total goals, making the under 2.5 market potentially too short.
Claude Opus 4.6 — with a 30-day result accuracy of 49.4% — sees value in BTTS-Yes at 1.44, citing Frankfurt's 87% away BTTS rate and Augsburg's home scoring streak.
Bottom line: The home win at 3.0 offers the clearest value, but Over 2.5 goals and BTTS-Yes are also worth considering given both teams' defensive frailties.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Augsburg vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
The market prices this as a pick'em (both sides at 2.5 on bet365, draw at 3.8), but ScoreGPT's AI consensus leans toward Augsburg as slight favorites. Three of six models predict a home win (2-1), including the consensus ScoreGPT pick at 55% confidence. Augsburg's dominant home form (only 1 loss in 10 at WWK Arena) and Frankfurt's catastrophic away record (1 win in 11) are the key drivers.
What is the predicted score for Augsburg vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
The consensus predicted score is Augsburg 2-1 Eintracht Frankfurt, backed by ScoreGPT, GPT-5.4, and Claude Opus 4.6. Grok 4.20 predicts a 2-2 draw, while Kimi K2.5 sees a 1-1 stalemate. Gemini 3.1 Pro is the outlier with a 1-2 away win prediction. Both teams have conceded heavily this season (54+ goals each), suggesting goals are likely regardless of the final result.
How accurate are ScoreGPT's AI predictions?
Over the last 30 days, ScoreGPT's models show the following result accuracy: Claude Opus 4.6 leads at 49.4% (79 of 160 correct), followed by Grok 4.20 at 48.4% (77 of 159), and GPT-5.4 at 45.7% (74 of 162). In terms of betting ROI over the same period, Grok 4.20 tops the table at +15.14%, with GPT-5.4 at +9.64% and Claude Opus 4.6 at +5.6%. These figures are based on real predictions made across Bundesliga and other top European leagues.
Disclaimer
Predictions by ScoreGPT using 6 independent AI models. For informational and entertainment purposes only. Download ScoreGPT free on iOS.