Oregon State vs Boise State prediction: 5 of 5 AI models back Boise State
23–39
AI consensus
A win for Boise State5/5 agree
Agreement is a model vote, not a probability.
College Football · Week 11 ·
Updated · ScoreGPT multi-model panel
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The model panel: Oregon State vs Boise State
College Football Week 11 · 14 November 2026 · scores read Oregon State–Boise State
- GPT-6.1 SolLeans Boise State24–38Market pick in app
- Claude Opus 5.5Leans Boise State24–41Market pick in app
- Grok 4.7Leans Boise Stateexact score in appMarket pick in app
- DeepSeek-V4-ProLeans Boise Stateexact score in appMarket pick in app
- Kimi K3.1 ProLeans Boise Stateexact score in appMarket pick in app
Each model may also pick one game market — the winner, the winning margin or the combined score — and every pick is graded. In the app.
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What does the AI predict for Oregon State vs Boise State?
As of 13 November 2026, for Oregon State vs Boise State (College Football Week 11), ScoreGPT's AI panel reached a consensus final score of Boise State 39–23 Oregon State, with 5 of 5 models picking Boise State. Key factors: Atkinson doubtful, Murphy likely starting; Riley run game vs weak OSU run defense. Every pick is graded publicly after the final whistle — for information and entertainment only.
Every pick is graded after the final whistle — see how our grading works and the Graded College Football record.
The AI verdict
Boise State is the pick at home, driven by a strong run game against a leaky Oregon State run defense and a reliable quarterback fallback if Maddux Madsen cannot go.
- Oregon State's Braden Atkinson, the nation's leading passer, hurt his hand and is doubtful; Maalik Murphy is the likely starter.
- Boise State's Dylan Riley anchors the run game against an Oregon State defense that allowed 386 rushing yards to Texas State.
- Max Cutforth went 16 of 19 for 317 yards and four touchdowns in relief at Colorado State, giving Boise a sound fallback.
- Oregon State's offense has cooled, scoring 22 points at Fresno State and 21 against Texas State in its last two games.
- Boise State's pass defense is the soft spot, having allowed 45 points to Texas State and 38 to Colorado State.
AI analysis generated 13 Nov 2026
Why ScoreGPT's AI panel leans this way — Oregon State vs Boise State
- Atkinson doubtful, Murphy likely starting
- Riley run game vs weak OSU run defense
- Cutforth gives Boise a sound QB fallback
- Boise pass defense keeps margin uncertain
Synthesis
I treat that as reasonable. The experts agree on the main driver, but they sometimes state it more strongly than the evidence allows.
What the experts agree on
- Oregon State's quarterback situation. Braden Atkinson, the nation's leading passer, hurt his hand against Texas State. Most experts list him as doubtful. DeepSeek says he is ruled out, and the others and the available reporting do not support that. I treat him as probably out but not confirmed. That leaves Maalik Murphy as the likely starter, and Murphy lost the job to Atkinson. The offense also looked weaker over the last two games, with 22 points at Fresno State and 21 against Texas State.
- Boise State's quarterback fallback. Maddux Madsen's knee is questionable, and the Idaho Statesman says he is expected back. If he sits, Max Cutforth has been very good in relief, going 16 of 19 for 317 yards and four touchdowns in the 64-38 win at Colorado State. The offense holds up either way, and Dylan Riley's run game is the constant.
- Matchup. Boise's run offense meets an Oregon State run defense that gave up 386 rushing yards to Texas State. Oregon State is also missing several defensive backs.
Where I resolve the disagreement
The real question is how much margin Boise gets, not whether it wins. Boise's defense is the soft spot, especially against the pass. It gave up 45 to Texas State and 38 to Colorado State. Oregon State's Jesse Legree can still produce big plays with any quarterback. I land on 38-24. That is a two-possession Boise win with a late Beavers score. A cover at 10.5 is plausible but not far from the middle of the outcome range.
Every model's reasoning — not just the score
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Frequently asked
▸Who is more likely to win, Boise State or Oregon State?
Boise State is the lean. The Broncos are at home with a strong run game led by Dylan Riley facing an Oregon State run defense that struggled badly against Texas State. Oregon State's quarterback situation is unsettled with Braden Atkinson doubtful, and Boise has a capable fallback in Max Cutforth if Maddux Madsen cannot play.
▸What is the predicted score for Oregon State vs Boise State?
The averaged AI final score is Boise State 39–23 Oregon State.
▸How does ScoreGPT make College Football Week 11 predictions?
Five AI models independently analyze form, injuries, depth charts and matchups for every covered College Football Week 11 game. ScoreGPT compares their picks and grades every prediction publicly after the final whistle.
▸What do the AI models predict for Boise State vs Oregon State?
The panel unanimously backs Boise State at home, with the experts agreeing on the main drivers: Oregon State's quarterback uncertainty and Boise's run game against a weak Beavers run defense. Most expect a two-possession Boise win, though Boise's pass defense keeps the margin uncertain.
▸What are the key factors for Boise State vs Oregon State?
Oregon State's Braden Atkinson is doubtful with a hand injury, leaving Maalik Murphy as the likely starter. Boise's Dylan Riley faces a run defense that gave up 386 rushing yards to Texas State. Maddux Madsen's knee is questionable, but Max Cutforth has been strong in relief. Boise's pass defense is the main concern.
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