Wake Forest vs SMU prediction: 4 of 5 AI models back Wake Forest
34–30
AI consensus
A win for Wake Forest4/5 agree
Agreement is a model vote, not a probability.
College Football · Week 11 ·
Updated · ScoreGPT multi-model panel
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The model panel: Wake Forest vs SMU
College Football Week 11 · 14 November 2026 · scores read Wake Forest–SMU
- GPT-6.1 SolLeans Wake Forest34–30Market pick in app
- Claude Opus 5.5Leans SMU28–31Market pick in app
- Grok 4.7Leans Wake Forestexact score in appMarket pick in app
- DeepSeek-V4-ProLeans Wake Forestexact score in appMarket pick in app
- Kimi K3.1 ProLeans Wake Forestexact score in appMarket pick in app
Each model may also pick one game market — the winner, the winning margin or the combined score — and every pick is graded. In the app.
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What does the AI predict for Wake Forest vs SMU?
As of 13 November 2026, for Wake Forest vs SMU (College Football Week 11), ScoreGPT's AI panel reached a consensus final score of SMU 30–34 Wake Forest, with 4 of 5 models picking Wake Forest. Key factors: Lopez probable, mobility uncertain; SMU's depleted secondary and edge. Every pick is graded publicly after the final whistle — for information and entertainment only.
Every pick is graded after the final whistle — see how our grading works and the Graded College Football record.
The AI verdict
Wake Forest is the lean here, largely because their run defense and turnover profile meet an SMU defense missing key pieces in the secondary and on the edge. It is a narrow edge rather than a comfortable one, hinging on how mobile Gio Lopez looks.
- Gio Lopez is listed probable after missing the Merrimack game with a knee injury, and his mobility is the central uncertainty.
- SMU's defense is depleted: safety Tyren Polley Jr. is out for the season and edge rusher Ira Singleton IV has missed significant time.
- Wake's defense is strong against the run but weaker against the pass, which plays into SMU's pass-first offense led by Kevin Jennings.
- SMU is unbeaten in ACC home games and plays this one on senior day with a revenge angle.
- Wake held Jennings to 179 passing yards in last year's meeting and owns the better turnover margin.
AI analysis generated 13 Nov 2026
Why ScoreGPT's AI panel leans this way — Wake Forest vs SMU
- Lopez probable, mobility uncertain
- SMU's depleted secondary and edge
- Jennings vs Wake's pass defense
- SMU's unbeaten ACC home record
The synthesis
This is a near coin-flip with a slight lean to Wake Forest. Four of five experts back the Deacons, and Claude Opus alone takes SMU. That is a modest edge, not a conviction. The experts are also prone to favourite-leaning, so I did not push the number higher.
Where the experts agree
- Gio Lopez is listed probable after missing the Merrimack game with a knee injury. His mobility is the central uncertainty. His season numbers are 18 touchdown passes to 1 interception, plus rushing production. Web reports confirm Dickert expects him to play.
- SMU's defense is depleted. Safety Tyren Polley Jr. is out for the season and edge rusher Ira Singleton IV has missed significant time. Several others, including secondary and line players, are injured or questionable. That is the clearest vulnerability on the field.
- Wake's defense is strong against the run and weaker against the pass. That plays into SMU's pass-first offense, led by Kevin Jennings.
- SMU's home record is a real factor. It is 12-0 in ACC home games, and it is senior day with a revenge angle.
How I resolved the disagreement
Claude's case for SMU rests on Wake's leaky pass defense, red-zone issues and home form. These are legitimate, but they cut both ways. Wake's offense meets the more damaged unit, an SMU secondary and edge group missing key players. Wake's run defense also forces SMU to depend on Jennings, and Wake held him to 179 yards last year. The common-opponent comparison, Cal and Virginia, favors Wake's defense. Wake also has the stronger overall profile and better turnover margin.
Every model's reasoning — not just the score
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Frequently asked
▸Who is more likely to win, SMU or Wake Forest?
Wake Forest is the slight lean. The panel favors the Deacons because their run defense and better turnover margin meet an SMU defense missing key secondary and edge players. SMU's unbeaten ACC home record and senior-day energy keep it close, and the pick depends heavily on whether Gio Lopez is fully mobile after his knee injury.
▸What is the predicted score for Wake Forest vs SMU?
The averaged AI final score is SMU 30–34 Wake Forest.
▸How does ScoreGPT make College Football Week 11 predictions?
Five AI models independently analyze form, injuries, depth charts and matchups for every covered College Football Week 11 game. ScoreGPT compares their picks and grades every prediction publicly after the final whistle.
▸What do the AI models predict for SMU vs Wake Forest?
The panel leans toward Wake Forest, with most experts backing the Deacons and one taking SMU. The consensus is a modest edge rather than a conviction, and the analysts deliberately kept it modest because experts tend to favor favorites. The main swing factor is Lopez's health; if he is limited and SMU's pass rush gets home, the SMU path opens up.
▸What are the key factors for SMU vs Wake Forest?
Lopez being probable but with uncertain mobility after a knee injury; SMU's depleted secondary and edge group, with Tyren Polley Jr. out for the season; Kevin Jennings and SMU's pass-first offense against a Wake defense that is strong against the run but leaky against the pass; and SMU's unbeaten ACC home record plus senior-day and revenge angles.
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