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FSV Mainz 05 2–3 Werder Bremen: AI predicted 2–1 ✗

2–1

AI consensus

A win for FSV Mainz 055/5 back FSV Mainz 05✗ Miss

FSV Mainz 05 5

Agreement is a model vote, not a probability.

FSV Mainz 05

2–3

final

Werder Bremen

MEWA Arena, Mainz

Bundesliga ·

Updated · ScoreGPT multi-model panel

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The model panel — graded: FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen

Bundesliga · 24 October 2026 · scorelines read FSV Mainz 05–Werder Bremen

Every pick, graded on the final result: FSV Mainz 05 2–3 Werder Bremen.

  • GPT-6.1 SolFSV Mainz 052–1✗ Miss
  • Claude Opus 5.5FSV Mainz 052–1✗ Miss
  • Grok 4.7FSV Mainz 052–1✗ Miss
  • DeepSeek-V4-ProFSV Mainz 052–1✗ Miss
  • Kimi K3FSV Mainz 052–1✗ Miss

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What did the AI predict for FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen?

ScoreGPT's AI panel predicted FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen (Bundesliga) at a 2–1 consensus scoreline, with 5 of 5 models backing FSV Mainz 05. The final result and grade are below — for information and entertainment only.

Every pick is graded after full time — see how our grading works and the live AI model leaderboard.

The AI verdict

FSV Mainz 05 are the lean for a narrow home win. Their attack is the sharper of the two and Bremen have no away win this season, though Mainz's poor home record keeps it close.

ScoreGPT predicted a win for FSV Mainz 05 — final score FSV Mainz 05 2–3 Werder Bremen. Wrong, and it counts on the public record.

  • Mainz have won all three away games but are without a home league win this season
  • Mainz have conceded 14 goals across their last five home league games
  • Bremen are unbeaten in five and have named an unchanged XI five times running
  • Bremen have conceded 12 in six and score almost entirely after half-time
  • Tietz has five league goals in six games; Füllkrug scores in every game

AI analysis generated 2026-10-23

Why ScoreGPT's AI panel leaned this way — FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen

  • Mainz winless at home
  • Both defences depleted
  • Füllkrug and Tietz in form
  • Bremen score late, concede often

From ScoreGPT's pre-match AI analysis of FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen, written before kickoff on 24 October 2026:

The synthesis

All five experts land on a narrow Mainz win, 2-1. They are mostly agreeing on a shape rather than a winner. I fixed the result at the panel consensus of Mainz 48%, draw 28% and Bremen 25%.

Where the experts agree

  • Mainz's home and away split. Mainz have won all three away games (5-0 at Hamburg, 4-3 at Gladbach, 1-0 at Schalke). They have no home league win this season: 0-0 with Paderborn, 1-3 against Frankfurt and 3-4 against Leverkusen. Over their last five home league games they have conceded 14.
  • Both defences are thin. Mainz are without Zentner, so Schwolow keeps the goal, and Kohr is also out. Bremen are without Stark, who failed his fitness test, and also Ndiaye, Stage, Alvero, Musah and Agu. Lynen is back in the squad but is unlikely to be a fit starter.
  • Both attacks are in form. Tietz has five league goals in six games. Füllkrug is scoring in every game and rescued the 2-2 with Paderborn with a second-half brace.
  • Bremen are settled but leaky. They have named an unchanged XI five times in a row and are unbeaten in five. They have recovered from two goals down in three straight games, but have conceded 12 in six.

Resolving the disagreements

The main disagreement is how much weight Mainz's home record should carry. Several experts argue it makes the draw unusually live. I take that seriously, which is why the home probability stays under 50%. Even so, Mainz's attack is the better one, and Bremen have no away win this season. Bremen also score almost entirely after half-time, so Mainz are likely to lead first. A narrow home win remains the single most likely outcome.

Every model's reasoning — not just the score

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Frequently asked

▸Who did the AI predict to win FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen?

5 of 5 AI models analyzed by ScoreGPT predicted FSV Mainz 05 to win before kickoff. The match finished FSV Mainz 05 2–3 Werder Bremen, so the consensus pick was wrong — and it stays on the public record either way.

▸What score did the AI predict for FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen?

ScoreGPT's averaged AI scoreline was FSV Mainz 05 2–1 Werder Bremen. The actual final score was FSV Mainz 05 2–3 Werder Bremen.

▸How does ScoreGPT make Bundesliga predictions?

Multiple AI models independently analyze form, squads and match context for every covered Bundesliga fixture. ScoreGPT compares their picks and grades every prediction publicly after the final whistle.

▸Which AI models have predicted FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen?

5 AI models predicted this match, each graded on the final result: GPT-6.1 Sol 2–1 (✗ wrong result); Claude Opus 5.5 2–1 (✗ wrong result); Grok 4.7 2–1 (✗ wrong result); DeepSeek-V4-Pro 2–1 (✗ wrong result); Kimi K3 2–1 (✗ wrong result). Every pick is graded publicly after full time.

▸What are the key factors for FSV Mainz 05 vs Werder Bremen?

Mainz are winless at home this season and have conceded heavily across recent home games, yet have won all their away matches. Both defences are depleted through injuries. Both attacks are in form through Tietz and Füllkrug. Bremen are settled and unbeaten in five but concede often and score late.

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