Derby vs Bolton prediction: 5 of 5 AI models back Bolton
0–1
AI consensus
A win for Bolton5/5 back Bolton
Agreement is a model vote, not a probability.
Pride Park Stadium, Derby
Championship ·
Updated · ScoreGPT multi-model panel
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When the panel was this sure, it happened:
- High
- 372 of 473 times
- Medium
- 352 of 603 times
- Low
- 587 of 1,363 times
Since 20 July. This match’s tier is in the app. How this is counted
The model panel: Derby vs Bolton
Championship · 6 November 2026 · scorelines read Derby–Bolton
- GPT-6.1 SolLeans Bolton0–1Market pick in app
- Claude Opus 5.5Leans Bolton1–2Market pick in app
- Grok 4.7Leans Boltonexact score in appMarket pick in app
- DeepSeek-V4-ProLeans Boltonexact score in appMarket pick in app
- Kimi K3.1 ProLeans Boltonexact score in appMarket pick in app
Each model may also pick one match market — 1X2, over/under 2.5 goals or both teams to score — and every pick is graded. In the app.
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What does the AI predict for Derby vs Bolton?
As of 6 November 2026, for Derby vs Bolton (Championship), ScoreGPT's AI panel reached a 0–1 consensus scoreline, with 5 of 5 models picking Bolton. Key factors: Derby defence depleted and collapsing; Derby home scoring: two in six. Every pick is graded publicly after full-time — for information and entertainment only.
Every pick is graded after full time — see how our grading works and the live AI model leaderboard.
The AI verdict
Bolton are the lean here, because Derby's home form has collapsed and their defence is badly depleted, while Bolton arrive with strong recent away results. Derby's inability to score at home makes a Bolton win the more likely outcome.
- Derby have won just once in their last 14 league games and have no home win in six
- Derby have scored only twice at home in six games while conceding twelve
- Bolton have won three of their last four away games, including at Charlton and Wolves
- Derby are without Cashin, Langås, Forsyth, Murkin and Taylor, with Clarke, Agyemang and Szmodics doubtful
- Derby have won the last six home meetings with Bolton, though Bolton's own absences include Toal, Hardie, McAtee and Erhahon
AI analysis generated 5 Nov 2026
Why ScoreGPT's AI panel leans this way — Derby vs Bolton
- Derby defence depleted and collapsing
- Derby home scoring: two in six
- Bolton's solid recent away form
- First goal shapes the game
Synthesis
I did not check anything online. The web search returned nothing usable, so the read rests on the experts' reported facts.
Where the experts agree
Derby's form is the main driver. They have won once in 14 league games and have no home win in six (two goals scored, twelve conceded). They have just lost 0-4 to Norwich and 1-4 at Millwall. Their back line is badly depleted: Cashin, Langås, Forsyth, Murkin and Taylor are out, and Clarke, Agyemang and Szmodics are doubts. Bolton have won three of their last four away games, including 1-0 at Charlton and 3-1 at Wolves, and drew 0-0 at Southampton.
Where they differ and how I resolved it
The disagreement is about scale. I side with 0-1. Derby have scored only twice at home in six games, and Bolton's last two away games were low-event clean sheets. Bolton's own defence is leaky, with 26 goals conceded, so 1-2 stays a real alternative.
Every model's reasoning — not just the score
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Frequently asked
▸Who is more likely to win, Derby or Bolton?
Bolton are the more likely winners. Derby have won only once in fourteen league games and have no home win in six, scoring just twice at home in that stretch. Their defence is badly depleted through injuries and they have just suffered heavy defeats. Bolton have won three of their last four away games, so the away side carries the stronger case.
▸What is the predicted score for Derby vs Bolton?
The averaged AI scoreline is Derby 0–1 Bolton.
▸How does ScoreGPT make Championship predictions?
Multiple AI models independently analyze form, squads and match context for every covered Championship fixture. ScoreGPT compares their picks and grades every prediction publicly after the final whistle.
▸What do the AI models predict for Derby vs Bolton?
The expert panel leans toward a Bolton win, with the majority favouring a controlled, low-scoring away performance rather than goals at both ends. One expert expects a tighter game with goals for both sides, but the prevailing view is that Bolton's solid away template and Derby's lack of home scoring point to a narrow Bolton victory.
▸What are the key factors for Derby vs Bolton?
Derby's poor form is central: one win in fourteen league games, no home win in six, and only two home goals scored. Their defence is depleted by injuries and doubts, and heavy recent defeats have hurt confidence. Bolton have won three of their last four away games and defend well on the road, though their own squad has absences. The first goal is likely to shape the match.
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For information and entertainment only.