Liverpool vs Arsenal prediction: 4 of 5 AI models back Arsenal

The read

This is a finely balanced game. Four of five models lean Arsenal, but only slightly. The strongest shared evidence is Arsenal's league control: 21 points from eight games, only five goals conceded, and three wins from four away. Liverpool's home league record is modest, with one win, two draws and a defeat, including the 0-3 loss to City. Their high-scoring European results shouldn't be read across to this game.

Where the experts disagree

• Arsenal's absences. Saka and Saliba are out, and Dowman is suspended. Rice, Calafiori and Tzolis are conditionally available, and Madueke is doubtful. Several experts read this as a real weakness, because Liverpool have Isak in form plus Wirtz and Barcola back. I weigh it as a reason to keep the lean thin, not to reverse it. Gabriel and Konsa have held up without Saliba, and Arsenal's method is low-event.
• Liverpool's problems. They are without both senior right-backs, and Szoboszlai is only a doubt. That limits how long they can keep Arsenal pinned back.
• DeepSeek's draw call. It rests partly on Arsenal's poor Anfield history and a striker drought. It does not outweigh the form evidence.
• Market drift. This is consistent with the absences and argues against reading the lean as strong.

Likely script

I expect a cagey, set-piece-heavy game with few clean chances. Arsenal should survive Liverpool's early pressure and then either take a narrow win or leave with a point. 1-1 is the single likeliest scoreline and 0-1 the next. 1-1 is not consistent with the fixed away-win result, so I take 0-1 as the most likely scoreline within it.